Stochastic Analysis of Future Vehicle Populations

Golomb, D. Henry; Bunch, Howard M.

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Stochastic Analysis of Future Vehicle Populations

1979-05-01
By Golomb, D. Henry ; Bunch, Howard M.

[PDF-3.32 MB]

English

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Details:

Creators:

Golomb, D. Henry ; Bunch, Howard M.

Golomb, D. Henry ; Bunch, Howard M. Less -
Corporate Contributors:

University of Michigan. Highway Safety Research Institute ; United States. Department of Transportation. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration ; John A. Volpe National Transportation Systems Center (U.S.)

University of Michigan. Highway Safety Research Institute ; United States. Department of Transportation. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration ; John A. Volpe National Transportation Systems Center (U.S.) Less -
Subject/TRT Terms:

[+]

Automobiles Climate Change Combustion Efficiency Energy Conservation Exhaust Gases FAPS Model Fuel Consumption Future Global Warming Greenhouse Gases Pollution Control Sales Stochastic Analysis Stochastic Programming Vehicle Survival Wharton Model
Publication/ Report Number:

HS-803-656 ; UM-HSRI-78-15 ; DOT-TSC-NHTSA-79-20

HS-803-656 ; UM-HSRI-78-15 ; DOT-TSC-NHTSA-79-20 Less -
Resource Type:

Research Paper
Geographical Coverage:

United States
Edition:

Final report April 19, 1977 to April 15, 1978
Corporate Publisher:

United States. Department of Transportation. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
Abstract:

The purpose of this study was to build a stochastic model of future vehicle populations. Such a model can be used to investigate the uncertainties inherent in Future Vehicle Populations. The model, which is called the Future Automobile Population Stochastic Model (FAPS Model), consists of two major components: (1) Model of New Car Sales. The model of new car sales is the model of automobile demand developed by Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates, revised to incorporate the new vehicle survival model that was developed. (2) A procedure for Specifying Future Planned and Unplanned Events. This procedure, which specifies the Future Values of exogenous parameters of the model, incorporates the uncertainty of these parameters into the model. A computer program of the FPAS Model was written and is documented in the report.
Format:

PDF
Funding:

DOT-TS-13729
Collection(s):

Transportation and Climate Change Collection Volpe Center
Main Document Checksum:

[+]

urn:sha256:8fe085063d1ad0d8e29f7e488df7f9c0b8315d22f1668cb06831cf02e0cb153f
Download URL:

https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/8553/dot_8553_DS1.pdf
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Stochastic Analysis of Future Vehicle Populations

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