The Dynamics of Urban Evolution: Volume II. Intra-Urban Evolution
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1978-10-01
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Abstract:In this report the concept of "order by fluctuation," that has appeared recently in physico-chemical and biological systems, is applied to the description of urban growth. It is shown that fluctuations play a vital role in the evolutionary process of urban growth. The evolution of a complex system cannot be known simply by studying the deterministic equations describing the system. It is necessary, in addition, to study the effects of fluctuations or historical accident which can drive the system to new modes of behavior. Taking account of both the deterministic elements of urban growth and the occurrence of fluctuations in population in an urban region, a transportation-sensitive, dynamic model of the evolution of the spatial distribution of urban populations was developed. This is the second of two volumes. Volume I presented a model of the evolution of the organization of urban centers.
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