The Effects of Changing Commutes on Home Delivery Activity
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2025-10-03
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Edition:Final Report: 2023-2024
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Abstract:In recent years, the rapid evolution of digital technologies has transformed various aspects of daily life, including introducing new opportunities for online shopping and teleworking. As virtual activities increasingly replace or complement in-person alternatives, related transportation activities for both passengers and goods are expected to change profoundly. While prior research has examined the socio-economic factors and built environment characteristics that influence these activities independently, few studies have examined the interaction between these activities, and the implications travel demand estimation and transportation planning. Leveraging an existing household travel survey – the New York City Department of Transportation’s Citywide Mobility Survey - this study used path analysis, a Structural Equation Modeling approach, to examine the impact of teleworking on (1) online shopping participation and (2) home delivery propensities for specific types of goods. Using this model structure enables exploration of the impact of teleworking on online shopping and home delivery behavior while also recognizing the effects of other exogenous variables and capturing the interconnections between online shopping and each of the delivery types. Results from this study can inform local delivery approaches that take into account the daily activities of receivers. This report also identifies a number of recommended improvements for future travel surveys and models of home delivery activity to better capture delivery complexities.
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha-512:050c08b5fec693ea165252cd2cf75144f4165124a71957f1ca56c91f06e29ac6655d519e67e330bf3a287f6893bb002bcd4d702b0622682350957f9405f5b182
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