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Forecasting Commercial Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) in Urban California Areas [Research Brief]
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2024-08-01
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[PDF-244.63 KB]
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Abstract:This research examines the total commercial vehicle miles traveled (VMT) across six diverse California counties over the period of 2000 to 2020. By examining the interplay between demographics, economics, pollution, and VMT trends, this study aims to uncover the key determinants influencing commercial transportation patterns in urban areas. The primary goal is to understand how economic fluctuations, demographic shifts, and pollution levels impact commercial VMT, with a focus on providing insights for policymakers, urban planners, and environmental agencies. By employing correlation analysis, LASSO regression, and elastic net regression techniques, this research identifies significant predictors of total VMT and sheds light on the implications for transportation and environmental policies. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for fostering sustainable transportation practices and enhancing economic resilience in urban communities.
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