Estimating the Effects of Vehicle Automation and Vehicle Weight and Size on Crash Frequency and Severity: Phase 1
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2024-07-31
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Edition:Final Report July 1, 2023 – June 30, 2024
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Abstract:Most light-duty vehicle (LDV) crashes occur due to human error. The National Highway Safety Administration (NHTSA) reports that eight percent of fatal crashes in 2018 were distraction-affected crashes, while close to ninety-four percent of all crashes occur in part due to human error. Crash avoidance features could reduce both the frequency and severity of light and heavy-duty vehicle crashes, primarily caused by distracted driving behaviors and/or human error by assisting in maintaining control or issuing alerts if a potentially dangerous situation is detected. As the automobile industry transitions to partial vehicle automation, newer crash avoidance technologies are beginning to appear more frequently in non-luxury vehicles such as the Honda Accord and Mazda CX-9. Additionally, the market penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) is increasing, in turn increasing the weight and size of vehicles on the road. This project develops a replicable, open, deployable model that can: 1) estimate the upper-bound crash avoidance potential that could be achieved as the effectiveness of warning and partial automation systems improve and adoption increases, 2) estimate the societal costs and benefits of fleet-wide deployment of crash avoidance technologies considering technology costs and benefits from avoided and less severe crashes, 3) estimate the number of lives that have been saved by forward collision warning, lane departure warning, and blind spot monitoring, and 4) estimate the effects of vehicle weight and size on crash frequency and severity.
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