Climate and Spatial Impacts on Lock Unavailability
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2018-09-14
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Edition:Final Report
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Abstract:One goal of this project was to provide guidance related to Climate Change for the Maritime Transportation Research and Education Center (MarTREC). Maritime Stakeholders have also expressed interest in temporal aspects of lock unavailability. The authors have considered them here along with spatial impacts on unavailability as well. The project's approach was to extend the linear regression methods and philosophies of MarTREC 5004 – Economic Impacts of Lock Usage and Unavailability – to statistically model Climate and Spatiotemporal Impacts on Lock Use and Performance (Chimka 2016). Lock Use, Performance, and Characteristics were last updated by the Navigation Data Center in July 2015, to include Public Lock Commodity, Usage and Unavailability Reports through 2014. They include annual tons locked by commodity group and lock, usage data including average delay and processing time, barges empty and loaded, flotillas and vessels, and unavailability data. The effect of unavailability (scheduled and unscheduled maintenance) on tons locked has been the focus of MarTREC 5004. Extended focus would be the effect of Climate and Spatiotemporal variables on tons locked and unscheduled unavailability data. This report models unscheduled unavailability as a function of climate variables, spatiotemporal variables or both for waterways in Arkansas, Illinois, Mississippi, and Ohio.
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha256:10898ebbe42093a3b3280e2bc2a5268c1ea1efb28b1fb355076511d1523560a2
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