Evaluating Risk for Mechanical Aviation Occurrences

Berk, Lawrence; John A. Volpe National Transportation Systems Center (U.S.)

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ROSA P serves as an archival repository of USDOT-published products including scientific findings, journal articles, guidelines, recommendations, or other information authored or co-authored by USDOT or funded partners. As a repository, ROSA P retains documents in their original published format to ensure public access to scientific information.

i

Evaluating Risk for Mechanical Aviation Occurrences

2002-03-12
By Berk, Lawrence

[PDF-1.05 MB]

English

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Details:

Creators:

Berk, Lawrence
Corporate Creators:

John A. Volpe National Transportation Systems Center (U.S.)
Subject/TRT Terms:

[+]

Aircraft Aircraft Accidents Aircraft Operations Data Analysis Inspectors Mechanical Failure Risk Analysis Safety Performance Analysis System
Resource Type:

Research Paper
Geographical Coverage:

United States
Corporate Publisher:

John A. Volpe National Transportation Systems Center (U.S.)
NTL Classification:

NTL-AVIATION-AVIATION;NTL-AVIATION-Aviation Safety/Airworthiness;NTL-SAFETY AND SECURITY-Aviation Safety/Airworthiness;
Abstract:

Between January 1996 and March 2001 airline crews, following emergency procedures, prematurely ended approximately 33,000 flights due to problems with aircraft systems. Every event ended with safe return of the aircraft and no casualties. Adverse trends in these events; defined as occurrences by the FAA, may represent accident precursors. The U.S. DOT's Volpe Center maintains a real-time Intranet application, the Safety Performance Analysis System (SPAS), designed specifically for inspectors to assess risk, prioritize workloads and develop intervention strategies. FAA inspectors requested a SPAS tool highlighting both adverse and encouraging trends in occurrences specific to aircraft system, aircraft type and airline. A proposed technique based on contingency table analysis accomplishes this, employing surveillance data to isolate statistically significant differences among carriers in peer groups.
Format:

PDF
Collection(s):

Volpe Center
Main Document Checksum:

[+]

urn:sha256:a24e6421dbb1dda37f9a8118408b0e40b18716e3c7d612d50d28b04e99b2f733
Download URL:

https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/36070/dot_36070_DS1.pdf
File Type:

No Additional Files

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Evaluating Risk for Mechanical Aviation Occurrences

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