Advanced operations focused on connected vehicles/infrastructure (CVI-UTC).
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2015-12-01
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Abstract:The goal of the Infrastructure Safety Assessment in a Connected Vehicle (CV) Environment ; project was to develop a method to identify infrastructure safety “hot spots” using CV data. ; Using these basic safety messages to detect hot spots may allow for quicker discovery than ; traditional methods, such as police-reported crashes. The basic safety message may be able to ; detect events that police normally cannot obtain, including unreported crashes and near-crashes. ; The project successfully explored some models and algorithms to detect crashes and near-crashes ; and also designed a methodology to apply to hot spot identification. With the data available, ; conclusive results were not achieved; however, the models showed some potential. Three ; techniques were tested to predict crashes using vehicles’ kinematic data. To predict where a ; crash was occurring, multivariate adaptive regression splines, classification and regression trees, ; and a novel pattern matching approach were all tested. The models were able to identify the ; majority of 13 known crashes with different amounts of false positives. The pattern matching ; approach outperformed a simple acceleration threshold by identifying nearly 70% of crashes in a ; crash-only test set and 74% of near-crashes in a near-crash only test set. On the training set, it ; was able to identify more crashes than the thresholds without increasing the number of false ; positives observed. Based on the work described in this report, the CVI-UTC is fully prepared to ; apply the methodology to data collected on the field test bed.
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha256:a283ae5d67394213b9cfdb0b97f798ae49079927a1b9c0ad62617c080f51a65e