Do changing prices portend a shift in fuel consumption, diminished greenhouse gas emissions, and lower fuel tax revenue?

Details

• Creators:
  Heaslip, Kevin ; Bosworth, Ryan ; Barnes, Ryan ; Sobh, Ali Soltani ; Thomas, Michael
• Corporate Creators:
  Utah Transportation Center
• Corporate Contributors:
  United States. Dept. of Transportation. Research and Innovative Technology Administration
• Subject/TRT Terms:
  • Alternate fuels
  • Fuel consumption
  • Greenhouse gases
  • Fuel taxes
  • Revenues
  • Prices
  • Market assessment
  • Natural gas vehicles
  • Pollutants
  • Vehicle miles of travel
  More +
• Publication/ Report Number:
  MPC 15-278
• Resource Type:
  Tech Report
• Geographical Coverage:
  United States
• Corporate Publisher:
  Mountain Plains Consortium
• Abstract:
  The growing uncertainty about oil prices and availability has made long-range transportation planning ; more challenging. Rather than relying on trend extrapolation, this study uses market mechanisms to ; evaluate key long-range transportation planning assumptions. Although the Washington Department of ; Transportation (WSDOT) is pursuing alternative fuels and energy sources, this study focuses primarily on ; natural gas. In particular, this study will help WSDOT assess the likelihood natural gas will substitute for ; petroleum fuels and estimate the impact changes in fuel prices will have on travel demand, fuel ; consumption, emissions, and tax revenues. ; The results of the modeling show that the impacts of natural gas vehicles (NGV) have the potential to ; affect vehicle miles traveled (VMT), emissions, and fuel tax revenue. The effects of NGVs are muted by ; the limited use of them in the fleet. Challenges with widespread integration include the increased upfront ; capital costs associated with NGVs, decreased power for heavy vehicles, and range anxiety in locations ; without developed natural gas fueling infrastructure. The NGV market in the state of Washington is ; hampered by these factors. The modeling and analysis in this report can be used to analyze changing ; conditions in the market and the effects on key transportation metrics.
  More +
• Format:
  PDF
• Download URL:
  https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/28608/dot_28608_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 2.16 MB]
• Collection(s):
  University Transportation Centers ; US Transportation Collection
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:2525d9c683c61860ea9492aa1d1bf5d1051e8017055257b117c167b9ae03ddbe