Effects of natural gas vehicles and fuel prices on key transportation economic metrics.

Details

• Creators:
  Heaslip, Kevin ; Bosworth, Ryan ; Barnes, Ryan ; Sobh, Ali Soltani ; Thomas, Michael ; Song, Ziqi
• Corporate Creators:
  Utah Transportation Center
• Corporate Contributors:
  United States. Federal Highway Administration ; Mountain Plains Consortium
• Subject/TRT Terms:
  Alternate Fuels Econometrics Fuel Taxes Greenhouse Gases Long Range Planning Natural Gas Vehicles Transportation Planning Travel Demand Vehicle Miles Of Travel
• Publication/ Report Number:
  WA-RD 829.1
• Resource Type:
  Tech Report
• Geographical Coverage:
  Washington
• Corporate Publisher:
  Washington (State). Dept. of Transportation. Research Office
• Abstract:
  The Washington State Department of Transportation (WSDOT) is responsible for planning, operating, and maintaining
  
  a highway network consisting of over 18,500 lane-miles of highway. Planning and building highways is, by nature, a
  
  long-range enterprise. It requires making many assumptions about future travel demand as well as estimating future
  
  fuel tax revenue. In recent years the growing uncertainty about oil prices and availability has made long-range
  
  transportation planning even more challenging. Rather than relying on trend extrapolation, this study uses market
  
  mechanisms to shed light on key long-range transportation planning assumptions. Although WSDOT is pursuing a
  
  variety of alternative fuels and energy sources including Electric Vehicles (EV), biofuels, propane, natural gas, etc.
  
  and their respective infrastructures, this study focuses primarily on natural gas. In particular, this study will help
  
  WSDOT assess the likelihood natural gas will substitute for petroleum fuels and estimate the impacts changes in fuel
  
  prices will have on travel demand, fuel consumption, Greenhouse Gas emissions, and fuel tax revenues.
  
  The results of the modeling show that the potential impacts of Natural Gas Vehicles (NGV) have the potential to have
  
  effects on vehicle miles traveled (VMT), emissions, and fuel tax revenue. The effects of these vehicles are muted by
  
  the current lack of natural gas vehicles in the fleet. The usage of natural gas vehicles is limited to fleet vehicles and
  
  vehicles with high mileage usage. Challenges with widespread integration currently include the increased upfront
  
  capital costs associated with vehicles with natural gas, decreased power for heavy vehicles, and range anxiety in
  
  locations without developed natural gas fueling infrastructure. Currently the NGV market in the state of Washington is
  
  hampered by these factors. The modeling and analysis provided in the document can be used to analyze changing
  
  conditions in the NGV market and the effects on key transportation metrics
  
  
• Format:
  PDF
• Funding:
  GCB1168
• Collection(s):
  University Transportation Centers US Transportation Collection
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:9af607aa2d9bf1156b776fdd709d816c94a6236f4e098c85efd8930c6790ac2f
• Download URL:
  https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/27450/dot_27450_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 3.98 MB ]