A framework for projecting the potential statewide vehicle miles traveled (VMT) reduction from state-level strategies in California : a National Center for Sustainable Transportation white paper.

Details

• Creators:
  Boarnet, Marlon G. ; Handy, Susan
• Corporate Creators:
  National Center for Sustainable Transportation (NCST) ; University of Southern California. School of Public Policy ; University of California, Davis. Institute of Transportation Studies ; METRANS Transportation Center (Calif.)
• Corporate Contributors:
  United States. Department of Transportation. Office of the Assistant Secretary for Research and Technology ; United States. Department of Transportation. University Transportation Centers (UTC) Program
• Subject/TRT Terms:
  • Greenhouse gases
  • Investments
  • Land use
  • Long range planning
  • Regional planning
  • Road pricing
  • Sustainable development
  • Sustainable transportation
  • Travel demand management
  • Vehicle miles of travel
• Publication/ Report Number:
  NCST-20170301
• Resource Type:
  Tech Report
• Geographical Coverage:
  United States;California
• Corporate Publisher:
  National Center for Sustainable Transportation (NCST) (UTC)
• Abstract:
  The California Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 (Assembly Bill 32) created a ; comprehensive, multi-year program to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the state to ; 80% below 1990 levels by 2050. With the recent passage of Senate Bill 32, the State of ; California has adopted an additional target of reducing greenhouse gas emissions to 40% below ; 1990 levels by 2030. To meet these goals, analysis shows that California will need to achieve an ; additional 7.5 percent reduction in light-duty vehicle miles of travel (VMT) by 2035, and an ; additional 15 percent reduction in light-duty VMT by 2050. ; The California Air Resources Board (ARB) is thus considering a wide range of strategies for the ; 2016 Scoping Plan Update that focus on reducing demand for driving. These strategies fall into ; four general categories: Pricing, Infill Development, Transportation Investments, and Travel ; Demand Management Programs. The State has the ability to directly implement some of these ; strategies through state policy; for other strategies, the State can adopt policies that encourage ; or require the implementation of the strategy on the part of regional agencies, local ; governments, and/or the private sector. ; In this paper, we consider the evidence available and assumptions needed for projecting ; statewide VMT reductions for each category of strategies. Our goal is to provide a framework ; for projecting the magnitude of reductions that the state might expect for the different ; strategies. This framework helps to illuminate the sequence of events that would produce VMT ; reductions and highlights important gaps in knowledge that increase the uncertainty of the ; projections. Despite uncertainties, the evidence justifies state action on these strategies: the ; available evidence shows that the strategies considered in this paper are likely to reduce VMT if ; promoted by state policy. ; We do not in this paper examine the potential co-benefits of VMT-reduction strategies, ; including health, equity, and other benefits, but the evidence of these benefits is also strong ; and further justifies state action.
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• Format:
  PDF
• Download URL:
  https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/32402/dot_32402_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 5.49 MB]
• Collection(s):
  University Transportation Centers ; US Transportation Collection
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:01b1e98c91ab1c57cc301367aed4fdf5a6113e88976e63c392e27125dc2701cd9dbfe71dd751732502edb61dd16b4bd11bd0938748b931089cfaf0e14a893324