Developing long range traffic projection models for Illinois : final report.

Details

• Creators:
  Slattery, Kerry T. ; Kay, Dianne H. ; Ehlmann, Bryon K. ; Wang, Yansong
• Corporate Creators:
  Southern Illinois University-Edwardsville. Dept. of Construction
• Corporate Contributors:
  Illinois Transportation Research Center
• Subject/TRT Terms:
  • Computer models
  • Computer programs
  • Regression analysis
  • Traffic data
  • Traffic forecasting
  • Geographic information systems
  • Traffic forecast
  • time series
  • traffic projection
• Publication/ Report Number:
  ITRC FR 03-1
• Resource Type:
  Research Paper
• Geographical Coverage:
  United States ; Illinois
• Edition:
  Final report, August 2003 through June 2004
• Corporate Publisher:
  Illinois Transportation Research Center
• Abstract:
  The project objective was to develop a PC-based tool to assist Illinois Department of Transportation (IDOT) traffic forecasters ; to meet FHWA reporting requirements for 2,400 HPMS sections and 27,000 structures in the State of Illinois, and to produce ; construction forecasts for highway improvement projects. The research included a review of current IDOT traffic forecasting ; procedures, study of the IRIS database in which roadway information, including HPMS and structures forecasts, are stored, ; development of tables and search strategies to organize IRIS data efficiently for forecasting, and development and verification ; of a computer model to project historical traffic data to future dates for FHWA reporting. The resulting computer program, the ; Illinois Traffic Projection Tool (ITPT) uses regression techniques to project historical traffic data for evaluation and use by ; IDOT traffic forecasters. Area-wide and county-wide growth rates are computed by applying a weighting function to ; representative locations in each county. Forecasters can use these growth rates when extrapolation of historical trends is not ; indicated by the data. The ITPT will make routine reporting on HPMS sections and structures, and special reporting on ; highway improvement projects significantly faster and more easily documented for future retrieval.
  More +
• Format:
  PDF
• Funding:
  IVA-H1, FY 03
• Download URL:
  https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/16120/dot_16120_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 3.59 MB]
• Collection(s):
  US Transportation Collection
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:9c69634c58c4511eba3a954d6522ee2b1e84b30f3c05beb8150fae42e5c78204