Considerations on Collision Risk Analysis for Decision Making in the NAT Region

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Considerations on Collision Risk Analysis for Decision Making in the NAT Region

File Language:

English

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Corporate Creators:

United States. Department of Transportation. Federal Aviation Administration. Technical Center
Subject/TRT Terms:

Analysis Of Rare Events Crashes Decision Making North Atlantic (NAT) Track System Risk Analysis Safety Statistical Decision Making Target Level Of Safety (TLS)
Publication/ Report Number:

FAA-CT-8l-36
Resource Type:

Tech Report
Geographical Coverage:

United States
Edition:

Final Report
Corporate Publisher:

United States. Department of Transportation. Federal Aviation Administration. William J. Hughes Technical Center
Abstract:

This working paper presents the views of the United States relative to a proposed change 1n the North Atlantic System Planning Group's decision-making procedure. This view is that the decision making process is composed of a number of interrelated parts--a target level of safety, a collision risk analysis, a minimum navigation performance specification, a monitoring procedure, a certification procedure and a set of decision criteria--and that a change to any part of this process cannot be made in isolation from the remainder of the process. It is shown that the proposed weighting procedure fails to find a basis in the overall decision-making process. Rather, the weighting procedure changes only one component of the overall process, resulting in several deficiencies. It is also shown that the resulting procedure is incompatible with the other elements of the total decision-making process. As a result, it is concluded that use of the proposed weighting procedure fails to assure adequate control of collision risk vis-a-vis a target level of safety, which is the principal objective of the minimum navigation performance specification.
Format:

PDF
Funding:

012-102-210
Collection(s):

FAA William J. Hughes Technical Center for Advanced Aerospace
Main Document Checksum:

urn:sha-512:70f83b6c4d335ffbc5b90171030b8a36650911e17bb54b85213690c43633a2da44315d97976562f7990be5e5b59fce49a252c9ef90d28d268ecf27f7de3a897e
Download URL:

https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/90779/dot_90779_DS1.pdf
File Type:

[PDF - 1.18 MB ]

File Language:

English

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