Urban Growth, Congestion, and Equity: Leveraging Multi-Mobility and Active Infrastructure Investments for Livable Cities: A Dissertation
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2025-09-01
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Abstract:Cities are dynamics centers of modern life, continually evolving through both growth and decline. While agglomeration and associated amenities are benefits of growing global urbanization, congestion and the resulting pollution, delays, and inequity are common negative externalities of increasing urbanization. This study evaluates growth and congestion to predict areas in the United States that will rank highly in each metric both presently and in the future. This work contributes a rolling framework methodology, which includes the collection and synthesis of a large set of variables to evaluate the dynamics of these factors' impacts over time. By incorporating an adaptive Bayesian learning framework, the model is able to both use previous information when relevant and reset this information in response to changing conditions when previous information no longer holds. The Growth Propensity Index for urban counties in the United States serves as a validation mechanism for some of the multi-disciplinary theories of urban growth. The inclusion of established relationships between variables such as population density, active modes of transportation, and spatial distribution of opportunities on the Congestion Propensity Index captures unique measures of suburbanization and urbanization dynamics.
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Content Notes:Reproduced with permission of copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha-512:bbcd5cc8f180fa38e7eb778fec0e6450f39017cc76be84a9fa3107ad959ff53a5a725aed68b05c94b50df42f9f918cfd24884e4d5149f0a09c564dda45c1c0b9
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