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Testing the Hurricane Evacuation Modeling Package (HEMP) [Summary]
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2025-02-01
[PDF-276.26 KB]
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Edition:Technical Summary
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Abstract:This project studied if and how behavioral models and traffic simulation frameworks created beforehand could be used to predict hurricane evacuation patterns in a new storm setting, with the anticipation of being able to conduct a real-time simulation in the future. Using publicly available data, this study first created synthetic populations by year for the study region of New Orleans, Louisiana. Findings from this process show that simulations of evacuation behavior can only be performed for storms that occurred between 2013 and two years prior to the current year. Additionally, it may not be appropriate to use population data from a different year to simulate evacuation behavior in a current year due to population migration.
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