Using Vehicle Probe Data to Evaluate Speed Limits [Project Summary]
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2024-08-01
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Abstract:When speed limits are set via an engineering speed zone study, the operating speed for a site is needed. This research project investigated whether probe speed data (rather than speeds measured in the field) could reasonably be used in a speed zone study. The idea for using probe speed data is to develop conversion equations that would convert an average yearly speed measure obtained from probe speed data into a speed measure that would represent free-flow conditions for passenger cars. Equations for85th percentile speed and average speed were created for freeway and non-freeway facilities, each subdivided into urban and rural contexts, and their performances were evaluated. For freeways, the adjusted R-squared values for the regression equations indicate that the independent variables used in the models can explain between 77 and 92 percent of the observed speed variability. Further, the values for the root mean square error implies that, on average, the predicted speeds are off by 2.6 to 2.9 mph, which are lower than the suggested incremental speed limits (5 mph).
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