Approaches to Forecasting the Third Performance Management Rulemaking (PM3) Measures for Target Setting

Pasumarthy, Praveen; Margiotta, Richard; Cambridge Systematics

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ROSA P serves as an archival repository of USDOT-published products including scientific findings, journal articles, guidelines, recommendations, or other information authored or co-authored by USDOT or funded partners. As a repository, ROSA P retains documents in their original published format to ensure public access to scientific information.

i

Approaches to Forecasting the Third Performance Management Rulemaking (PM3) Measures for Target Setting

2023-08-01
By Pasumarthy, Praveen ; Margiotta, Richard

English

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Details:

Creators:

Pasumarthy, Praveen ; Margiotta, Richard

Pasumarthy, Praveen ; Margiotta, Richard Less -
Corporate Creators:

Cambridge Systematics
Contributors:

Taylor, Rich
Corporate Contributors:

United States. Department of Transportation. Federal Highway Administration. Office of Operations
Subject/TRT Terms:

[+]

Forecasting Performance Measurement Transportation Operations Travel Time
Publication/ Report Number:

FHWA-HOP-21-014
Resource Type:

Tech Report
Geographical Coverage:

United States
Contracting Officer:

Taylor, Rich
Corporate Publisher:

United States. Department of Transportation. Federal Highway Administration. Office of Operations
Abstract:

This document developed a step-by-step calculation guide for three forecasting methods in support of target setting for the third performance management rulemaking (PM3) travel time-based performance measures. The three forecasting methods covered in this document are: Extrapolation of past trends (macroscopic). Highway segments “at risk” for unreliability (microscopic; based on identifying segments that close to the reliability threshold). Model-based forecasting.
Format:

PDF
Funding:

DTFH61-16-D-00051
Collection(s):

Federal Highway Administration
Main Document Checksum:

[+]

urn:sha-512:61d43f3d67d67ac2c82c0ee9681705be678feaa12def4c0bb7125be9f5a5480d27dec4f9a4caf349574ea4168a12b5209a99512dc156d776010d4702fe427c8d
Download URL:

https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/70420/dot_70420_DS1.pdf
File Type:

[PDF-1.09 MB]