Methods Used to Develop a Model for Crash and Injury Projections for 2020–2030

Mallory, Ann; Kender, Allison; Watkins, Laura; Hutter, Erin; Moorhouse, Kevin

doi:10.21949/1530234

i

Methods Used to Develop a Model for Crash and Injury Projections for 2020–2030

2021-10-01
By Mallory, Ann ; Kender, Allison ; Watkins, Laura

File Language:

English

Details

Creators:

Mallory, Ann ; Kender, Allison ; Watkins, Laura ; Hutter, Erin ; Moorhouse, Kevin
Corporate Creators:

Transportation Research Center Inc
Corporate Contributors:

United States. Department of Transportation. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. Office of Vehicle Safety Research
Subject/TRT Terms:
Publication/ Report Number:

DOT HS 813 147
DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21949/1530234
Resource Type:

Tech Report
Geographical Coverage:

United States
Edition:

Final
Corporate Publisher:

United States. Department of Transportation. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
Abstract:

This report describes in detail the design and implementation of a projection model developed at NHTSA’s Vehicle Research and Test Center that will be used to identify future crash, occupant, and injury issues remaining. The most urgent issues in crash safety research have typically been identified with retrospective, real-world crash data. However, this report describes methods for projecting future crashes using retrospective data from NASS CDS, NASS GES, and FARS, along with the best forecasts of population and transportation trends, and estimates of the effects of current and planned safety countermeasures.
Format:

PDF
Download URL:

https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/58185/dot_58185_DS1.pdf
File Type:

[PDF - 4.22 MB]
Collection(s):

NHTSA - Vehicle Safety Research
Main Document Checksum:

urn:sha-512:ab577d79d84b23dbc06bb0c262a30aaf3cd0e2b13d7aa7641faaf589e58b602b166e4df900a128f05ad84d48181faf9080383ef6e4d2db473e9bf91700fed0a5

File Language:

English

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