Methods To Analyze and Predict Interstate Travel Time Reliability

Details

• Creators:
  Zhang, Xiaoxiao ; Zhao, Mo ; Appiah, Justice ; Fontaine, Michael D
• Corporate Creators:
  Virginia Transportation Research Council (VTRC) ; University of Virginia
• Corporate Contributors:
  Virginia. Department of Transportation ; United States. Department of Transportation. Federal Highway Administration
• Subject/TRT Terms:
  • Forecasting
  • Information processing
  • Interstate highways
  • Travel time
  • Travel Time Reliability
  • Target Setting
  • LOTTR
  • Quantile Regression
  • Generalized Random Forests
• Publication/ Report Number:
  FHWA/VTRC 22-R2
• Resource Type:
  Tech Report
• Geographical Coverage:
  United States
• Edition:
  Final Report
• Corporate Publisher:
  Virginia Transportation Research Council (VTRC)
• Abstract:
  The Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century Act (MAP-21) defined requirements for system reliability performance measures. Under MAP-21, state departments of transportation are responsible for reporting travel time reliability and for setting targets and showing progress toward those targets. In order to know how to improve travel time reliability and what to expect from investments in transportation infrastructure, these agencies need a better understanding of the factors that affect travel time reliability and methods to predict future travel time reliability. The purpose of this study was to quantify the factors influencing travel time reliability and investigate how to account for these factors in setting reliability targets and communicating progress.
• Format:
  PDF
• Funding:
  114313
• Download URL:
  https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/57307/dot_57307_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 6.25 MB]
• Collection(s):
  US Transportation Collection
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:aa5b942679f9c694fdd211823f2dacbcb7e1f7a8d070b2d867c0259d283ff17b