Transitioning to multiple imputation : a new method to impute missing blood alcohol concentration (BAC) values in FARS
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2002-01-01
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Edition:NHTSA technical report
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Abstract:The National Center for Statistics and Analysis (NCSA) of the National Highway Traffic Safety
Administration (NHTSA) has undertaken several approaches to remedy the problem of missing blood alcohol
test results in the Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS). The current approach employs a linear
discriminant model that estimates the probability that a driver or nonoccupant has a BAC in grams per
deciliter (g/dl) of 0, .01 to .09 or .10 and greater. Estimates are generated only for drivers and nonoccupants
(pedestrians, pedalcyclists) for whom alcohol test results were not reported.
Beginning with the 2001 data, NHTSA will transition to Multiple Imputation, a new method to estimate
missing BAC in FARS. The publications for the 2001 data will reflect the estimates of alcohol involvement
generated using Multiple Imputation. The new methodology improves on the current model by imputing
specific values of BAC across the full range of possible values rather than estimating probabilities. Imputing
ten values of BAC for each missing value will permit the estimation of valid statistics such as variances,
measures of central tendency, confidence intervals and standard deviations.
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