United States Department of Transportation
i
Building Feedback into Modelling Impacts of Automated Vehicles: Developing a Consensus Model and Quantitative Tool
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2020-04-28
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[PDF-408.84 KB]
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Edition:Conference paper; Apr- Oct 2019
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Abstract:System dynamics offers a rigorous approach to modelling the sometimes-surprising dynamics endogenous in complex systems and is ideal for gaining insight into potential impacts of automation in transport. Researchers from Europe and the U.S. are developing a consensus model, starting from an impact assessment framework presented at TRA 2018 and published shortly thereafter. This paper reports on a 2019 group model building workshop, which collated the intelligence of a diverse international group of modelling, transport and liveability/equity experts, focusing on socioeconomic impacts of highly automated vehicles, from household and public authority standpoints. Subsequent work developed a general framework from which detailed system dynamics models can be created for specific research questions. The ultimate goal is to develop a quantitative tool that can help planners and policy-makers understand how highly automated vehicles may fit within the transport system, and to begin to explore consequences of potential actions under various scenarios.
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