United States Department of Transportation
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Integrated Transportation and Land Use Forecasting: Sensitivity Tests of Alternative Model Systems Configuration
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1998-08-01
[PDF-7.91 MB]
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TRIS Online Accession Number:1103177
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Abstract:For nearly half a century transportation planners have been making use of increasingly complex computer models for forecasting the consequences of construction of, and modifications to, transportation systems. For most of that time, and in the majority of instances, the inputs, especially the employment, household, and land use inputs, to their forecasting models have been considered only as an afterthought. This study examines the alternative configurations which are currently and readily available to allow integrated transportation and land use forecasting. The authors demonstrate that that such forecasts can be implemented in regional planning agencies, MPO's, in various sizes of region. The authors then go on to demonstrate the effects of alternative model system configurations, and provide some guidelines which will allow an agency's technical staff to make informed decisions as to how to modify their own transportation and land use modeling processes in order to produce more reliable forecasts and policy evaluations.
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