Bus Route Demand Models: Portland Prototype Study

Details

• Corporate Creators:
  Tri-County Metropolitan Transportation District of Oregon
• Corporate Contributors:
  United States. Department of Transportation. Urban Mass Transportation Administration. Office of Planning Assistance ; United States. Department of Transportation. Office of the Secretary of Transportation. Technology Sharing Division
• Subject/TRT Terms:
  • Urban transit
  • Public transit
  • Forecasting
  • Bus routes
  • Mathematical models
  • Scheduling
  • Highways
  • Economics
  • Economic and social factors
  • Bus stops
  More +
• Publication/ Report Number:
  DOT-I-83-37
• DOI:
  https://doi.org/10.21949/1527288
• Resource Type:
  Research Paper
• Geographical Coverage:
  Portland (Oregon);United States
• Corporate Publisher:
  United States. Department of Transportation. Urban Mass Transportation Administration
• Abstract:
  This 121-page report summarizes efforts undertaken by the Tri-County Metropolitan Transportation District (TRI-MET) in Portland, Oregon to develop a short-range, route level transit patronage model. The document first provides an overview of the patronage estimation techniques in use at TRI-MET before the current study. Then the document describes a four step Route Patronage Forecasting Model which was developed to improve the process. The technique evolved was more complicated than originally anticipated, since interconnectivity and multiple choices of routes is a key factor in TRI-MET's route network. The basic model, in its automated version, is rather data intensive and requires a main frame computer for operation. A manual version of the tool has also been developed, although it has not been applied as extensively. Results of the model's original applications were considered a qualified success, although some problems with overprediction of demand were noted on the initial tests. The report should be of interest to transportation planners in medium to large size cities.
• Content Notes:
  Series: Special Studies in Transportation Planning (SSTP)
• Format:
  PDF
• Download URL:
  https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/412/dot_412_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 5.09 MB]
• Collection(s):
  FTA 50th Anniversary Collection
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:6b1ccf489660b445ffea305b3e00ef7e81b4fb8dbec48e9a04427aa339c0fca1