ADOT state-specific crash prediction models : an Arizona needs study.
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2016-12-01
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Abstract:The predictive method in the Highway Safety Manual (HSM) includes a safety performance function (SPF), ; crash modification factors (CMFs), and a local calibration factor (C), if available. Two alternatives exist for ; applying the HSM prediction methodology to local conditions. They are either calibration of the SPFs found in ; the HSM or the development of jurisdiction-specific SPFs ; The objective of this study was to develop a process to evaluate the SPFs contained in the HSM for road ; segments and intersections on the Arizona State Highway System and to determine if those SPFs should be ; calibrated or if Arizona-specific SPFs should be developed. ; The recommendations are that ADOT move forward with SPF calibration for all HSM safety performance ; functions as for project-level safety analysis in Arizona. A specific calibration function has been calculated for ; two-lane rural undivided highways. Safety analysis is progressing at a promising rate and can be used to attain ; significant reductions in fatal crashes and crash severity. To achieve this, ADOT will need to make a significant ; commitment to developing and maintaining a comprehensive database of roadway characteristics combined ; with crash data and average annual daily traffic volume data that are all linked through a common linear ; referencing system.
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha256:b4add369adcd171335df3366536ce365fee48fbeb5d2045ac39e63fe9f511bd3