Data-driven freeway performance evaluation framework for project prioritization and decision making.
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2015-03-01
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Abstract:This report describes methods that potentially can be incorporated into the performance monitoring and planning
processes for freeway performance evaluation and decision making. Reliability analysis is conducted on the selected
I-15 corridor by employing congestion frequency as the performance measure and hot spots during peak hours are
identified through sensitivity analysis. A data-driven algorithm combining spatiotemporal analysis and shockwave
theory is developed and applied to historical traffic data and incident records to determine the secondary incidents.
The results show that the occurrence of secondary incidents is highly related to weather and roadway conditions.
Incident-induced delay is further quantified through spatiotemporal pattern recognition. The average delay induced
by incidents aligns well with the incidents’ severity and impact. There were several hot spots suffering from higher
delays and are explored in further details. A statistical mechanism is developed to determine the adverse weather
impact on travel. Using the weather records in 2013 and mapping with the PeMS traffic database, the volume and
delay under normal condition are estimated and compared with the condition under adverse weather. The analysis of
different roadway conditions reveals that the general parabolic pattern of speed and volume disappear under severe
adverse weather condition. The mechanism is able to identify the causes for reduced volume under a variety of
scenarios through empirical data, either due to roadway capacity reduction or travel demand reduction.
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha-512:c02978f6611e11f382e5054bd0f536e11082ebc9f1c76b2f3b94d072b5f22eeb1559a45847a43e7f8eb696ee23b767f90501a9e93babfa645da44d3bfe2754c1
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