Michigan urban trunkline intersections safety performance functions (SPFs) development and support.
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2015-06-01
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Abstract:This study involves the development of safety performance functions (SPFs) for signalized and stop-controlled intersections ; located along urban and suburban arterials in the state of Michigan. Extensive databases were developed that resulted in the ; integration of traffic crash information, traffic volumes, and roadway geometry information. After these data were assembled, an ; exploratory analysis of the data was conducted to identify general crash trends. This included assessment of the base models ; provided in the Highway Safety Manual (HSM), as well as a calibration exercise, which demonstrated significant variability in ; terms of the goodness-of-fit of the HSM models across various site types. Michigan-specific SPFs were estimated, including ; simple models that consider only annual average daily traffic (AADT). More detailed models were also developed, which ; considered additional geometric factors, such as posted speed limits, number of lanes, and the presence of medians, intersection ; lighting, and right-turn-on-red prohibition. Crash modification factors (CMFs) were also estimated, which can be used to adjust ; the SPFs to account for differences related to these factors. Separate SPFs were estimated for intersections of only two-way ; streets and for those where at least one of the intersecting streets was one-way as the factors affecting traffic safety were found to ; vary between these site types. Severity distribution functions (SDFs) were also estimated, which can be used to predict the ; proportion of injury crashes which result in different injury severity levels. The SDFs may include various geometric, operation, ; and traffic variables that will allow the estimated proportion to be specific to an individual intersection. Ultimately, the results of ; this study provide MDOT with a number of methodological tools that will allow for proactive safety planning activities, ; including network screening and identification of high-risk sites. These tools have been calibrated such that they can be applied ; at either the statewide level or within any of MDOT’s seven geographic regions, providing additional flexibility to accommodate ; unique differences across the state. The report also documents procedures for maintaining and calibrating these SPFs over time, ; allowing for consideration of general trends that are not directly reflected by the predictor variables.
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha-512:73638602280ce4f807b62668ba6a4f284392094cc207f06179781b7b09b0c3d223b5d25f3a55374a45676646e5d588e11d3f0a794976b28395d0b520edcacdc6