Travel costs associated with flood closures of state highways near Centralia/Chehalis, Washington.
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2014-09-01
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Abstract:This report discusses the travel costs associated with the closure of roads in the greater ; Centralia/Chehalis, Washington region due to 100-year flood conditions starting on the Chehalis River. The costs ; were computed for roadway closures on I-5, US 12, and SR 6, and are based on estimated road closure durations ; supplied by WSDOT. The computed costs are only those directly related to travel that would otherwise have ; occurred on the roads affected by the flooding closures. The computed costs do not include the economic losses ; associated with delayed delivery of goods or services, losses in economic activity attributable to travelers being ; unable to reach their intended destinations, or economic losses associated with the loss of goods because they ; could not be delivered. The reported costs do include the added costs of time and vehicle mileage associated with ; available detour routes. Costs were also estimated for each trip that will be abandoned. That is, this study ; estimated the number of trips that will not be made as a result of road closures. ; The researchers also conducted a sensitivity analysis of the findings for the I-5 cost computation. ; Sensitivity tests were conducted for the value of time, the speeds and level of congestion assumed to occur on the ; routes used for detours, the values associated with trips that are not made via the expected detours, the ; percentage of personal trips made for work/business purposes versus those being made for personal reasons, the ; fraction of cars and trucks willing to detour, the effects of flood closure during the weekend or the summer, and ; growth in traffic volumes on I-5.
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