Developing inexpensive crash countermeasures for Louisiana local roads.
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2014-03-01
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Abstract:Although 40% of all crashes in Louisiana are on local roads, local road safety improvement programs have not received ; the attention needed to reduce crashes. Local road crash countermeasures are an important part of the overall efforts to ; reduce crashes and their severity in Louisiana. The efforts to develop a local road safety program are hampered by the lack ; of appropriate risk assessment that enables local agencies to reduce crashes using low cost countermeasures. This paper ; provides a methodology that can be used by local agencies to deploy countermeasures based on a risk assessment and ; optimization to meet a fixed budget. First, a statistical model is presented to assess the risk of local road segments taking ; into account AADT and geometric features of the road segment or intersection. Secondly, low cost countermeasures are ; recommended for individual road segments and costs for improvements are assessed. Thirdly, a score which allows the ; ranking of road projects is developed for each road segment. This score incorporates the risk associated with the observed ; number of crashes, the benefits of improvements, and the total cost of a project. Finally, guidelines for a local road safety ; improvement program are presented to allow local agencies to institute procedures for a systematic system-wide road ; improvement methodology. The deliverables include an Excel application that uses OLAP to obtain a ranking of ; candidates for road improvements. This application makes use of crash data, engineering features, and AADT to compute ; empirical Bayes (EB) estimates and tail probabilities for each road segment and intersection. Road segments and ; intersections with a tail probability below 5% are selected as candidates for countermeasures. These candidates are ; evaluated using Google Earth, countermeasures are suggested, and costs and benefits of the countermeasures are obtained ; using published information. The resulting road improvement projects are then ranked using multi criteria DEA including ; costs, benefits and crash risks.
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