Evaluation of bus transit reliability in the District of Columbia.
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2013-11-01
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Abstract:Several performance metrics can be used to assess the reliability of a transit system. These include on-time arrivals, travel-time ; adherence, run-time adherence, and customer satisfaction, among others. On-time arrival at bus stops is one of the performance ; metrics of the Washington Metropolitan Transit Authority (WMATA). A bus is considered to be on time by WMATA if it arrives at ; most two minutes earlier or seven minutes later than the scheduled arrival times, with a performance goal of 78%. Most regional ; transit agencies consider arrivals that fall within one minute earlier or five minutes later than the scheduled arrival times as being ; on time. The goal of this project was to determine the on-time performance and their statistical significance based on WMATA’s ; advertised threshold and the industry standard for on-time arrivals. Fifteen bus routes in Washington DC with several stops were ; studied in this research. WMATA’s published bus schedules provided expected arrival times. An on-board manual survey was ; conducted from June 2012 through June 2013 for peak morning and afternoon travel on those routes during which the actual ; arrival times at the bus stops were noted and compared with the scheduled arrival times. For WMATA’s two-minutes-early and ; seven-minutes-late arrival threshold, the buses were found to be on time approximately 82% of the time, on average, during the ; morning. In the evening, for the same threshold, only 68% of the buses on average were considered to be on time. This results ; in an overall on-time performance of 75%, which is a modest improvement over the 2010 on-time performance of 74%. Based on ; the one-minute-early and five-minutes-late arrival threshold used by several regional transit agencies, the buses were found to be ; on time approximately 67% of the time during the morning and 55% in the evening, resulting in an overall performance of 61%.
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha-512:466be98743211d8479c89a393a33d0bc326903dcc4941303087e3e482a998fe7d42cc98d5890ad82dd6f631813dc613b0a82450ac5d907ac3ce6b817dd5c84a5