United States Department of Transportation
i
California voting and suburbanization patterns : implications for transit policy.
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2013-07-01
[PDF-987.42 KB]
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NTL Classification:NTL-PLANNING AND POLICY-Land Use;NTL-PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION-PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION;NTL-PLANNING AND POLICY-Surveys;
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Abstract:Public transit is an environmentally friendly transportation mode that usually focuses on transporting people within and to the city
center. However, over the last 60 years, population and employment has been suburbanizing. As the median voter lives further
from the city center, and thus enjoys fewer benefits from accessing public transit, does this reduce such a voter’s propensity to
support public investment in public transit improvements? We analyze voting patterns on 20 transit-related ballot propositions
from state-wide elections in California between 1990 and 2010. Controlling for demographic, socio-economic and political
ideological factors, we focus on the role of suburbanization as a possible causal factor in determining public support for public
transit investment. The results provide a rich picture of the attitudes towards transportation policy among California voters, and
will help policy makers to better understand citizen preferences and to better predict how future trends will shift support towards
or against transit. Finally, we suggest ways policy makers can use urban land markets to increase support for transit.
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