Advanced decision modeling for real time variable tolling : development and testing of a data collection platform.
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2012-06-01
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NTL Classification:NTL-HIGHWAY/ROAD TRANSPORTATION-HIGHWAY/ROAD TRANSPORTATION ; NTL-PLANNING AND POLICY-PLANNING AND POLICY
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Abstract:Our current ability to forecast demand on tolled facilities has not kept pace with advances in decision sciences and ; technological innovation. The current forecasting methods suffer from lack of descriptive power of actual behavior because ; of the simplifications used in current economic decision models. These simplifications are in part due to the historical ; limitations on data collection. Today, we are seeing advances in the data collection technology that captures naturalistic ; behavior and this study is seeking to develop and test such technology. This will be the first phase of a naturalistic driving ; study on the topic of variable road tolling and decision making. ; This investigation extends the state of knowledge of decision modeling under risk and ambiguity by developing a ; mobile data collection platform for the capturing of naturalistic choice outcomes, associated environmental states, decision ; makers’ self-articulated perceptions of risk and assessments of ambiguity, and socio-economic attributes. This ; software/hardware development is the first step in advancing our ability to forecast future revenue sources in ; transportation. The data collection platform will be used in an extending study and will allow the study team to obtain ; insights for developing, testing and implementing new behavioral models that explicitly describe how we use imprecise ; information—in this case, ambiguous information signaled by variable toll lane charges—that are superior to those ; obtained to date. ; To support the empirical observations of driver choice of diverting to HOT or non-HOT lanes in real-time, this ; study documents the development and testing of an in-vehicle perception acquisition device. The device is based on smartphone ; technology and its software is designed using the latest IOS release. Drivers will be able to upload the software ; application onto their existing smartphone or tablet. The widespread acceptance and use of smartphones and tablets allows ; the collection and transmission of decision data collected in real-time without installing or altering the drivers’ vehicles in ; any manner. This both increases the convenience—and perhaps the use of the application—and reduces the cost of data ; collection.
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha-512:09d65a0a0c7bcf9db1f7082a452b36dc302ef77b00b8dfa8cfbde88a41254f3233f007fd210c7949ade092c1d50514c3e8d6470ea3b5fe56e7a0cbbd51e53e10