Longitudinal useful life analysis and replacement strategies for LED traffic indicators.
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2014-04-01
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Abstract:The application of Light Emitting Diode (LED) lighting systems has experienced significant growth in
the transportation sector over the past 10 years. LED indication lifespans have significantly greater durations than
previous technologies, however, uncertainties in the duration of LED devices have unearthed challenges in
developing a replacement schedule of LED traffic indications. This research evaluates two methods to approximate
the useful life of LED traffic indicators. Previous research in LED indications used a lateral regression analysis to
determine the lifetime of LED indications. A new methodology is used to incorporate longitudinal regression analysis
as well as account for additional factors outside previous research methods. The findings of this report compare the
results using the new methodology against previous research recommendations. A discussion on the impact of the
updated results on transportation agencies’ policies is also included. Findings indicate that useful life of the majority
of LED indications is approximately two years longer than previously estimated.
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