Alternative powertrain strategies and fleet turnover in the 21st century.
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2010-08-01
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Abstract:The changes taking place in the global automotive industry related to alternative ; powertrains and fuels are affecting each country or region differently. Each country or ; region has its own policies in place to monitor and manage vehicle fuel consumption and ; emissions. Countries or regions also have different numbers of new vehicles sold annually ; and the total numbers of vehicles in their fleets. This analysis looks at the current and ; future direction of alternative powertrains/fuels across four developed economies (United ; States, Western Europe, Japan, and South Korea) and four developing economies (Brazil, ; Russia, India, and China) in order to measure the impact of increasing the number of ; alternative powertrains/fuels in their fleets. In particular, the analysis looks at the how ; much of each country’s fleet will turn over to vehicles based only on alternative ; powertrains/fuels by 2050 by introducing three different alternative powertrain/fuel models ; (less aggressive, moderately aggressive, and very aggressive). A less aggressive approach ; will yield fleet turnover rates of 60 percent or more for most countries, a moderately ; aggressive approach will yield fleet turnover rates of over 80 percent for most countries, ; and a very aggressive approach will yield fleet turnover rates of nearly 90 percent or more ; for most countries.
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha256:0347e4e0b3e0afe172a99a5f17d217d40df188a8b4bf0a8078a15dec44e982f7