Evolution of the household vehicle fleet : anticipating fleet composition, plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) adoption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in Austin, Texas.

Details

• Creators:
  Musti, Sashank ; Kockelman, Kara M.
• Corporate Creators:
  University of Texas at Austin. Center for Transportation Research
• Corporate Contributors:
  Texas Transportation Institute
• Subject/TRT Terms:
  Electric Vehicles Hybrid Vehicles
• Publication/ Report Number:
  SWUTC/09/169202-1 ; 169202-1
• Resource Type:
  Tech Report
• Geographical Coverage:
  United States
• Corporate Publisher:
  Texas Transportation Institute
• NTL Classification:
  NTL-HIGHWAY/ROAD TRANSPORTATION-Design ; NTL-SAFETY AND SECURITY-Vehicle Design
• Abstract:
  Automobile ownership plays an important role in determining vehicle use, emissions, fuel
  
  consumption, congestion and traffic safety. This work provides new data on ownership decisions
  
  and owner preferences under various scenarios, coupled with calibrated models to microsimulate
  
  Austin’s household-fleet evolution. Results suggest that most Austinites (63%, populationcorrected
  
  share) support a feebate policy to favor more fuel efficient vehicles. Top purchase
  
  criteria are vehicle purchase price, type/class, and fuel economy (with 30%, 21% and 19% of
  
  respondents placing these in their top three). Most (56%) respondents also indicated that they
  
  would seriously consider purchasing a Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) if it were to cost
  
  $6,000 more than its conventional, gasoline-powered counterpart. And many respond strongly to
  
  signals on the external (health and climate) costs of a vehicle’s emissions, more strongly than
  
  they respond to information on fuel cost savings. 25-year simulations suggest that 19% of
  
  Austin’s vehicle fleet could be comprised of Hybrid Electric Vehicles (HEVs) and PHEVs under
  
  adoption of a feebate policy (along with PHEV availability in Year 1 of the simulation, and
  
  current gas prices throughout). In comparison to the base year (2009) total VMT, year 2034
  
  vehicle miles traveled (VMT) levels are predicted to increase 154% by year 2034 in the TREND
  
  scenario. Total CO2 emissions fall by 22% in the PRICING scenario relative to the TREND
  
  scenario.
  
  
• Format:
  PDF
• Funding:
  10727
• Collection(s):
  US Transportation Collection
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:f60c03788ce5c6755cb19f63df209284aa06b1ba90b3602fc69a2bb02282c488
• Download URL:
  https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/17809/dot_17809_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 1.01 MB ]