Evolution of the household vehicle fleet : anticipating fleet composition, plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) adoption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in Austin, Texas.

Details

• Creators:
  Musti, Sashank ; Kockelman, Kara M.
• Corporate Creators:
  University of Texas at Austin. Center for Transportation Research
• Corporate Contributors:
  Texas Transportation Institute
• Subject/TRT Terms:
  • Electric vehicles
  • Hybrid vehicles
• Publication/ Report Number:
  SWUTC/09/169202-1 ; 169202-1
• Resource Type:
  Tech Report
• Geographical Coverage:
  United States
• Corporate Publisher:
  Texas Transportation Institute
• NTL Classification:
  NTL-HIGHWAY/ROAD TRANSPORTATION-Design ; NTL-SAFETY AND SECURITY-Vehicle Design
• Abstract:
  Automobile ownership plays an important role in determining vehicle use, emissions, fuel ; consumption, congestion and traffic safety. This work provides new data on ownership decisions ; and owner preferences under various scenarios, coupled with calibrated models to microsimulate ; Austin’s household-fleet evolution. Results suggest that most Austinites (63%, populationcorrected ; share) support a feebate policy to favor more fuel efficient vehicles. Top purchase ; criteria are vehicle purchase price, type/class, and fuel economy (with 30%, 21% and 19% of ; respondents placing these in their top three). Most (56%) respondents also indicated that they ; would seriously consider purchasing a Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) if it were to cost ; $6,000 more than its conventional, gasoline-powered counterpart. And many respond strongly to ; signals on the external (health and climate) costs of a vehicle’s emissions, more strongly than ; they respond to information on fuel cost savings. 25-year simulations suggest that 19% of ; Austin’s vehicle fleet could be comprised of Hybrid Electric Vehicles (HEVs) and PHEVs under ; adoption of a feebate policy (along with PHEV availability in Year 1 of the simulation, and ; current gas prices throughout). In comparison to the base year (2009) total VMT, year 2034 ; vehicle miles traveled (VMT) levels are predicted to increase 154% by year 2034 in the TREND ; scenario. Total CO2 emissions fall by 22% in the PRICING scenario relative to the TREND ; scenario.
  More +
• Format:
  PDF
• Funding:
  10727
• Download URL:
  https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/17809/dot_17809_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 1.01 MB]
• Collection(s):
  US Transportation Collection
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:f60c03788ce5c6755cb19f63df209284aa06b1ba90b3602fc69a2bb02282c488