A new method for determining a sector alert
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2008-09-29
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Abstract:The Traffic Flow Management System (TFMS) currently declares an alert for any 15-minute interval in which the predicted demand exceeds the Monitor/Alert Parameter (MAP) for any airport, sector, or fix. For a sector, TFMS predicts the demand for each minute, and TFMS uses the demand of the peak minute in a 15-minute interval to decide whether to declare an alert for the entire 15-minute interval. Using the peak demand from a single minute to declare alerts has been criticized for three reasons. First, the demand from a single minute is a flawed measure of workload for the entire 15-minute interval. Second, using demand for a single minute leads to instability; that is, slight fluctuations in demand from minute to minute can lead to alerts flickering on and off. Third, the interval that is alerted depends on the arbitrary, 15-minute boundaries.
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha-512:8d66d4c33e078c2e14a5fe0fb682d3e02042b7846c52a9bab09667e6b34fc4da4a2e5547747bd75b0ca5993fc8a0c69c2912aadf3e2054d03081b659635606de
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