Analysis of Downstream Imports of Air Traffic Delay

Details

• Creators:
  Boswell, S B ; Evans, J E
• Corporate Creators:
  Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Center for Transportation Studies
• Corporate Contributors:
  United States. Department of Transportation. Federal Aviation Administration
• Subject/TRT Terms:
  • Air traffic control
  • Schedule maintenance
  • Traffic delays
  • Weather conditions
• Publication/ Report Number:
  ATC-257
• Resource Type:
  Tech Report
• Geographical Coverage:
  United States
• Edition:
  Project report
• Corporate Publisher:
  Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Lincoln Laboratory.
• Abstract:
  Reduction of air carrier flight delay in the U.S. National Airspace System (NAS) has been a major objective of the FAA for many years. Much of the current delay arises from weather induced delays at airports. When a plane is delayed on one of the day's flights, there can be a carryover delay that affects later flights by that aircraft. In this report, statistical models were developed to predict: the 'downstream' delays that occur when a flight experiences an initial delay; and, the likelihood of flight cancellation as a function of the initial delay. Using historical airline reported delays for December 1993, it was concluded that the mean 'downstream' delay is approximately 80% of the initial delay, i.e., the net delay for an aircraft due to an initial flight delay is approximately 1.8 x the initial delay.
• Format:
  PDF
• Funding:
  DTFAOl-9 l-Z-02036
• Download URL:
  https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/57372/dot_57372_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 1.22 MB]
• Collection(s):
  US Transportation Collection
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha256:11a74208c17162bd4d6b8893764db6a52dfa67c7c3c4adbfa12f0fd0f1a64f55