Development of Speed Models for Improving Travel Forecasting and Highway Performance Evaluation
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2013-12-01
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TRIS Online Accession Number:01502067
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Edition:Final Report
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Abstract:Most travel forecasting models require the use of appropriate values of free flow speed and practical capacity as well as appropriate forms of volume delay functions and their calibrated parameters. One-year field data of hourly volumes and hourly speeds from permanent traffic count stations maintained by the Florida Department of Transportation were used to determine the prevailing free flow speeds and practical capacities of highway facilities categorized by area type and facility type. The area types were grouped as rural, urban, and residential while facilities were categorized as uninterrupted flow facilities or interrupted flow facilities. Field data of speed and volume were plotted and used to fit and calibrate four volume delay functions (VDFs) - that is, Modified Bureau of Public Roads (BPR), Modified Davidson, Akcelik and Conical functions. The calibrated VDFs were then tested into the Florida Standard Urban Transportation Modeling Structure (FSUTMS) using the Orlando Urban Area Transportation Study (OUATS) region. The results of free flow speed and practical capacity estimation produced values that were in line with those found in published literature, although capacity on rural freeway segments could not be estimated because of uncongested operations on those segments. Updating the FSUTMS SPEEDCAP lookup table is recommended. Although the testing of the volume delay functions on the OAUTS region revealed a reasonable match between estimated counts and field counts for Modified BPR and Modified Davidson volume delay functions, the results need to be validated further due to lack of permanent count stations in the test region.
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