How will e-commerce growth impact our transportation network? Final report.
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2017-08-01
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Edition:Final Report
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Abstract:The steady growth in online retailing continues to rattle long-established business models and the ; shopping patterns of consumers (who are also taxpayers, voters, and drivers). Those consumers ; are increasingly choosing shorter delivery cycles—opting in some cases to receive their goods ; within hours rather than days. ; The demand for more immediate delivery requires retailers to be more nimble and radically ; changes warehousing logistics. Sellers are augmenting their reliance on million-plus square foot ; facilities, adding smaller sorting and delivery hubs and locating them closer to their customers. ; Moreover, while retailers continue to employ traditional delivery services like FedEx, UPS, and ; USPS, they also are looking to independent contractors who use personal vehicles to transport ; packages in the same way that transportation network companies like Uber ferry passengers. ; These changes can directly impact our transportation system, and they bring to light a number of ; challenges for transportation planners, operating agencies, and policy makers. For instance: ; - Evolving delivery operations cloud the picture of how carriers are regulated. Much of the ; regulation of motor carriers in Texas relates directly to the weight capacity of the vehicles ; transporting cargo. Most traditional delivery operations fall under this statutory ; description, requiring certificates of operating authority from the Federal Motor Carrier ; Safety Administration. The use of personal autos by people acting as independent ; contractors may meet the basic definition of a motor carrier (transporting cargo for hire), ; but these contractors are not required to register as such because of the vehicles’ smaller ; size. Consequently, they avoid a number of safety and operational requirements. ; - Changes in urban logistics will impact roadway system use and needs. The further ; expansion of e-commerce will increase warehousing needs. These facilities, located ; increasingly within urban areas, require interstate highway access to accommodate more ; frequent daily truck traffic. Even with increased automation, these centers will require ; larger workforces than traditional warehouses would, creating more trips by employees ; coming from areas with limited transit service options and working multiple shifts. ; - Personal vehicle use in express delivery growth will affect traffic patterns. Growing ; numbers of express deliveries involve personal vehicles, mirroring the model of ; transportation network companies, which may increase the number of non-peak-period ; trips into residential areas. These trips may not be captured in current regional travel ; demand models that help to forecast system needs, so planning agencies will need to ; adjust their models to ensure that those needs are more accurately projected. ; E-commerce and its associated delivery demands will likely continue to disrupt traditional ; business practices. Planners and policy makers alike will need to closely monitor these changes ; to effectively plan and operate a transportation system that meets the needs of a growing ; population of road users and consumers.
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