The formulation and estimation of a spatial skew-normal generalized ordered-response model.
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2016-06-01
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Abstract:This paper proposes a new spatial generalized ordered response model with skew-normal kernel error terms and an ; associated estimation method. It contributes to the spatial analysis field by allowing a flexible and parametric skew-normal ; distribution for the kernel error term in traditional specifications of the spatial model. The resulting model is ; estimated using Bhat’s (2011) maximum approximate composite marginal likelihood (MACML) inference ; approach. The model is applied to an analysis of bicycling frequency, using data from the 2014 Puget Sound ; household travel survey undertaken in the Puget Sound region in the State of Washington in the United States. Our ; results underscore the important effects of demographic variables, as well as the miles of bicycle lanes in an ; individual’s immediate residential neighborhood, on bicycling propensity. An interesting finding is that women and ; young individuals (18-34 years of age) in particular “warm up” to bicycling as more investment is made in ; bicycling infrastructure, thus leading not only to a larger pool of bicyclists due to bicycling infrastructure ; enhancements, but also a more diverse and inclusive one. The results highlight the importance of introducing social ; dependence effects and non-normal kernel error terms from a policy standpoint. Specifically, our results suggest ; that ignoring these effects, as has been done by all earlier bicycling studies, can underestimate the impacts of ; bicycling infrastructure improvements and public campaigns on bicycle use frequency, potentially leading to under-investments ; in bicycling infrastructure projects.
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha256:c476973d27016ee4f6ff3d34ea98cd9f5077e55c355a1d85a30a2c87fa8309c3