Guidebooks for estimating total transit usage through extrapolating incomplete counts : final report.
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2016-09-01
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By Chu, Xuehao
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Subject/TRT Terms:
- Bus transit
- Estimating
- Extrapolation
- Handbooks
- Methodology
- Passenger counting
- Passenger miles
- Rail transit
- Ridership
- Statistical sampling
- Trip length
- National Transit Database (NTD)
- automatic passenger counter
- unlinked passenger trips
- passenger miles traveled
- sampling manual
- sampling plans
- bus
- light rail
- streetcar rail
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Edition:Final report
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Abstract:This report provides guidance for transit agencies to estimate transit usage for reporting to the National Transit ; Database (NTD) when their counting procedure that is designed to perform full counts misses some trips. Transit usage ; refers to unlinked passenger trips (UPT), passenger miles traveled (PMT), and average passenger trip length (APTL) in ; terms of annual totals and annual average daily by schedule type for annual reporting and monthly total UPT for ; monthly reporting. The guidance is provided in two self-contained guidebooks for bus and rail, respectively. Bus service ; includes all four fixed-route bus modes defined in the NTD: motor bus (MB), commuter bus (CB), bus rapid transit ; (RB), and trolleybus (TB). Rail includes light rail (LR), streetcar rail (SR), and hybrid rail (YR). For both mode types, the ; guidance focuses on data from automatic passenger counters (APC). ; The guidance details a methodology for determining transit usage for each mode type through stratified extrapolation ; of incomplete counts rather than intentional sampling with APCs. The guidance views the total transit usage determined ; from the methodologies as estimates rather than 100% counts. It also views each methodology as an alternative ; sampling technique. The guidance identifies the conditions under which transit agencies may estimate annual total ; transit usage with this methodology as a pre-certified alternative sampling technique. For example, agencies must pass ; an equivalence test by demonstrating that their APC data are statistically equivalent to paired manual data within ; ±7.5% at the 95% confidence level. The guidance provides detailed steps for agencies to conduct the equivalence test ; in an Excel environment. When agencies meet the identified conditions and follow the guidance, they may use Appendix ; A in each guidebook as the document of certification by a qualified statistician for the alternative sampling technique. ; For the NTD program, the guidance fills a gap in current NTD guidance and will result in more accurate UPT and PMT ; data. For agencies, it prevents under-reporting and saves the need to hire a qualified statistician for certifying the ; methodology as an alternative sampling technique.
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha256:771bcba7672812ef164ec4dcc87cbedc141b17ec62976d9961d9e2ffc2f9caa6