Active traffic management case study: phase 1 : final report.
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2016-03-01
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Edition:Final report
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Abstract:This study developed a systematic approach for using data from multiple sources to provide active traffic management ; solutions. The feasibility of two active traffic management solutions is analyzed in this report: ramp-metering and real-time ; crash risk estimation and prediction. Using a combined dataset containing traffic, weather, and crash data, this study ; assessed crash likelihood on urban freeways and evaluated the economic feasibility of providing a ramp metering solution. ; A case study of freeway segments in Omaha, Nebraska, was conducted. The impact of rain, snow, congestion, and other ; factors on crash risk was analyzed using a binary probit model, and one of the major findings from the sensitivity analysis ; was that a one-mile-per-hour increase in speed is associated with a 7.5% decrease in crash risk. ; FREEVAL was used to analyze the economic feasibility of the ramp metering implementation strategy. A case study of a ; 6.3 mile segment on I-80 near downtown Omaha showed that, after applying ramp metering, travel time decreased from ; 9.3 minutes to 8.1 minutes and crash risk decreased by 37.5% during the rush hours. The benefits of reducing travel time ; and crash cost can easily offset the cost of implementing ramp metering for this road section. ; The results from the real-time crash risk prediction models developed for the studied road section are promising. A ; sensitivity analysis was conducted on different models and different temporal and spatial windows to estimate/predict crash ; risk. An adaptive boosting (AdaBoost) model using a 10 minute historical window of speeds obtained from 0.25 miles ; downstream and 0.75 miles upstream was found to be the most accurate estimator of crash risk.
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