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Alternative Title:NURail2012-MIT-R01 : high speed rail as a complex sociotechnical system.
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Abstract:The primary goal of this research is to study the impact of Amtrak’s performance in the Northeast Corridor (NEC). This report focuses on Amtrak’s Acela and Regional passengers, as well as the travel time performance of these services in the last ten years (2005 to 2014). It evaluates different factors that lead to variability in ridership and service performance, as well as the impact of service performance on ridership. Another objective of the thesis is to hypothesize about how service performance affects future demand on the Acela and Regional services. This research lays the foundation for future work on the impact of Amtrak's performance, and measures needed to strengthen and improve intercity passenger rail in the Northeast Corridor. This report is essentially empirical, using Amtrak data to ascertain current performance on the NEC, with particular emphasis on on-time performance, delays and variability in travel time along the corridor. Methods include standard statistical techniques with time series analysis playing an important role.
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