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Impacts of potential seismic landslides on lifeline corridors.

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  • Abstract:
    This report presents a fully probabilistic method for regional seismically induced landslide hazard analysis and

    mapping. The method considers the most current predictions for strong ground motions and seismic sources

    through use of the U.S.G.S. seismic hazard curves in conjunction with topographic, geologic, and other

    geospatial information. Probabilistic landslide triggering analysis is performed based on Newmark’s sliding

    block theory. Because strength parameters are difficult to obtain in detail for a large regional area, friction

    angles for each lithological unit are estimated from histograms of the terrain slope at locations of previously

    mapped landslides within the unit. Afterwards, empirical models are used to predict the probability of a

    landslide triggering and the probability of horizontal displacement from a landslide exceeding specific thresholds

    (i.e., 0.1, 0.3, 1.0 m) relevant to engineering and planning purposes.

    The probabilistic landslide-triggering map is evaluated by comparing its predictions with previously mapped

    landslides from the Statewide Landslide Inventory Database of Oregon (SLIDO). Over 99.8% of the landslides

    in SLIDO are located in areas mapped with very high probability (i.e., 80-100%) of a landslide triggering.

    The created landslide hazard maps are suitable for regional resilience and planning studies by various agencies,

    as well as integration with maps of other types of hazards for probabilistic-based multi-hazard calculations and

    risk assessment. The maps should not be used in place of site-specific analyses, but may be used to prioritize

    where site-specific analyses and new geotechnical investigations are most needed. Finally, the maps can be used

    to identify which sections of the highway corridors would be likely be least affected by landslides, enabling it to

    serve as a lifeline route

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    urn:sha-512:7105d995cb0e357e7ecdb04fb029da869c9625bf8e5db6a1548e4509a3c0efe8a57724e863639b880df6e3552fb8efb4c5929a817221845968315ef516971bb7
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File Language:
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