California motor vehicle stock, travel and fuel forecast.
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2009-06-01
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Abstract:This is the twenty-fourth in a series of reports that forecasts Vehicle Miles of Travel (VMT) in California. This report is intended for transportation planning, travel forecasting, air quality modeling, and fuel tax revenue projection.
This report provides forecasts of VMT, Vehicle Fuel Consumption (VFC), registered vehicles, and vehicle fuel economy on a statewide basis. The forecasts are disaggregated by county, road system, vehicle body type, and vehicle fuel type.
Socioeconomic factors that affect vehicle miles of travel include population, per capita personal income, vehicles per person, and the fuel cost per mile of travel.
The VMT and VFC are projected to increase by 61 percent and 57 percent respectively from 2007 to 2030. The counties with the most growth in VMT are Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, San Bernardino, Orange, Santa Clara, Sacramento, and Alameda. The rural counties show very little change in VMT. More detailed forecast results are provided in the body of the report.
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