Analysis of FARS data on state highways in Oklahoma.
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2012-11-01
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Abstract:Analysis of fatality automobile accident data can be challenging in rural areas where a relatively small number of ; such accidents occurs on specific sections of highways. Combining crash data for 1998 to 2011 from the Fatality ; Analysis Reporting System (FARS) and highway networks and design specifications from the Oklahoma ; Department of Transportation (ODOT), this project employs Poisson regression analysis to determine what ; roadway characteristics (e.g., grade, geometry, and design) are most associated with fatal crashes on ; predominantly rural segments of highways in Oklahoma. ; A state-wide model found that median width and type, terrain type, surface type and thickness, grade, and outside ; shoulder width were all significant predictors of fatality crashes. Vertical grade was the most significant variable in ; the state model, with uphill grades contributing to significantly more fatal crashes while flat roads modestly reduce ; the risk. Terrain type was also very significant, both flat and rolling terrain categories having higher contributions to ; fatality crash rates than baseline levels in residential areas. Outside shoulder width significantly negatively ; correlated with fatalities, as wider shoulders mean more room for drivers to recover or at least shed speed. ; Median width was also significant with the expected negative sign as wider medians result in fewer fatalities. ; Surprisingly, median type was only moderately significant, though as expected most other median types did ; contribute to higher crash rates compared to cable barriers. ; The results provide information about what combinations of highway design traits have contributed most to past ; crashes and therefore can identify potentially dangerous road segments system-wide. This information will help ; transportation engineers evaluate current construction practice and seek ways to address design issues that are ; shown to contribute significantly to serious crashes.
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha256:56c47e8ee19faafbedd68d039bf0f61e82106d70b77a818f53aaed76561758bf