Speed limit recommendation in vicinity of signalized, high-speed intersection.
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2012-04-01
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Edition:Final report.
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Abstract:We evaluated the traffic operations and safety effects of 5 mph and 10 mph speed limit reductions in the vicinity of highspeed, ; signalized intersections with advance warning flashers (AWF). Traffic operational effects of the reduced speed ; limits were analyzed for seven high-speed, signalized intersections with AWF using the Quantile regression model and ; Seemingly Unrelated Regression Estimation (SURE). Change of speed limit from 60 mph to 55 mph did not lead to any ; statistically significant reduction in 15th, 50th, or 85th percentile. The reduction from 65 mph to 55 mph hour led to a 4.6 ; mph reduction in 85th percentile speed; also, the speed dispersion based on inter-percentile range between 15th and 85th ; percentiles was reduced by 1.8 mph. About the mean and standard deviation of speed estimated by SURE, the only ; statistically significant impact is from the speed limit reduction of 10 mph from 65 mph, which reduced the mean speed of ; vehicles by 3.8 mph at the significance level of 95%. In the safety effect study, a crash analysis based on 56 approaches ; from 28 intersections was performed. The 10 mph speed limit reduction from 65 to 55 mph was found to reduce, on an ; average, 0.4 crashes per approach per year with 90% percent level of confidence while the 5 mph reductions in the dataset ; was found to reduce, on an average, 0.6 crashes per approach per year with 95% significance level. Also, the studied ; approaches with 10 mph reduction were found to have a lower probability of possible injury crashes and a higher ; probability of property damage crashes with a 90% level of confidence. The 5 mph reductions in this dataset did not show ; any significant effect on reducing crash severity. It was also found that lower speed limits in vicinity of the signalized ; intersection reduced the probability of fatal and injury crashes.
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