Integrated transportation scenario planning.

Details

• Creators:
  Bartholomew, Keith ; Ewing, Reid ; Meakins, Gail
• Corporate Creators:
  University of Utah. Metropolitan Research Center
• Corporate Contributors:
  United States. Federal Highway Administration. Surface Transportation Environment and Planning Cooperative Research Program
• Subject/TRT Terms:
  • Transportation planning
• Publication/ Report Number:
  FHWA-HEP-10-034
• Resource Type:
  Tech Report
• Geographical Coverage:
  United States
• Corporate Publisher:
  United States. Federal Highway Administration
• Abstract:
  Regional land use‐transportation scenario planning emerged as a planning technique in U.S. ; metropolitan areas in the 1990s. Building on prior work by this research team, this study continues ; to track the development and expansion of regional scenario planning, using 28 projects ; completed between 2003 and 2010. These projects demonstrate the continued popularity of ; scenario planning techniques when used to articulate and evaluate compact alternatives for ; future growth. The research team used hierarchical multivariate modeling to evaluate 107 ; scenarios, demonstrating important associations between land use and transportation variables ; and vehicle travel demand. Coefficients from this analysis suggest that a shift to compact ; development—increasing average regional density by 50 percent by 2050, emphasizing infill, ; mixing land uses, and increasing the price of automobile use‐‐could result in 25% fewer VMT ; compared to amounts projected under trend conditions. The projects also demonstrate ; important methods for effectively integrating scenario techniques into traditional long‐range ; regional transportation planning processes. ; These important advances in regional scenario practice are hampered, to some degree, by ; continued limitations in the ability of travel demand models to evaluate the impacts of land ; use‐based strategies. Another limitation is the failure by project sponsors to incorporate ; important changes in global economic and environmental conditions, such as climate change ; and peak oil, both as input variables and as evaluation metrics.
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• Format:
  PDF
• Download URL:
  https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/18592/dot_18592_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 9.72 MB]
• Collection(s):
  Federal Highway Administration ; US Transportation Collection
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:f42fd9247cd9977f584772c13e5223d01dca8e2b64ff8555e69b2726b9effb27f64e892e2f4800c46616a557c96b858578d0f99092ef296e77da19375adf82a1