A comprehensive engineering analysis of motorcycle crashes in Maryland.
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2010-12-01
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Abstract:The goal of this study was to identify recurring or common road characteristics of motorcycle crashes ; in Maryland from 1998 to 2007. Motorcycle crash data was obtained from the National Highway ; Traffic Safety Administration’s Crash Outcome Data Evaluation System (CODES), and road ; inventory data was obtained from the Maryland State Highway Administration. Both sets of data were ; integrated, and fault tree analysis and variable selection methods were utilized to find the highest ; frequency crash cases. A categorical principal component analysis was used to specify the minimum ; number of variables that explain most of the observed variance. In addition, ordinal logistic models ; were developed to estimate the number of motorcycle crashes for road segments within each road ; class. The results of the logistic ordinal regression analysis show that area type, median type, speed ; limit, average annual daily traffic (AADT), international roughness index (IRI), and the number of ; through lanes affect the number of motorcycle crashes on Maryland road segments. Interestingly, ; government control and shoulder type were shown to have no significant impact on the number of ; motorcycle crashes. The developed ordinal logistic model can also calculate the number of ; motorcycle crashes for each road characteristic. Engineers and safety officials can use this study’s ; results to develop solutions for identified safety deficiencies.
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Main Document Checksum:urn:sha-512:c19ed6f5158cd02629ba74202ace30142260a17a0a8be778a4acdb78d0d1d6321974e267430602ec23e9fb33f6e3183fa9001b316798d289b38a3e2f1fb48252