Co-evolution of Transportation and Land Use: Modeling Historical Dependencies in Land Use and Transportation Decision Making

Details

• Creators:
  Zhang, Lei ; Xu, Wei ; Li, Mingxin
• Corporate Creators:
  University of Maryland (College Park, Md.). Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
• Corporate Contributors:
  Oregon Transportation Research and Education Consortium
• Subject/TRT Terms:
  Land Use Land Use--Planning--Decision Making--Mathematical Models Land Use Planning Mathematical Models Transportation--Planning--Decision Making--Mathematical Models Transportation Planning
• Publication/ Report Number:
  OTREC-RR-09-07
• Resource Type:
  Tech Report
• Geographical Coverage:
  Oregon
• Edition:
  Final report.
• Corporate Publisher:
  Oregon Transportation Research and Education Consortium
• Abstract:
  The interaction between land use and transportation has long been the central issue in urban and regional planning. Models of such
  
  interactions provide vital information to support many public policy decisions, such as land supply, infrastructure provision, and growth
  
  management. Both the transportation and land use systems exhibit historical dependencies in policy decisions. For instance, the expansion of a
  
  roadway today will change travel demand patterns, and make certain other roads more or less likely to be expanded in the future. A specific land
  
  supply decision made at one point in time, by changing the relative attractiveness of other areas in the region, can have a profound impact on
  
  future land supply decisions. Today’s land use decisions clearly influence future transportation policies and vice versa.
  
  This project examines the land use-transportation interaction from an evolutionary perspective — once a certain set of goals are determined and
  
  pursued by politicians and planners, their land supply and transportation investment decisions are, to a large extent, driven by their previous
  
  decisions and supply-demand dynamics in the urban system. Built upon this recognition of historical dependency and a transportation network
  
  growth model previously developed by the P.I., a model of the co-evolution of land use and transportation is proposed in this project. Different
  
  from existing integrated land use and transportation models that assume exogenous network investment decisions, the co-evolution model
  
  considers both land use growth and transportation network growth as endogenous and market-driven. The central research question is how market
  
  and policies translate into transportation facilities and land use developments on the ground. The co-evolution model achieves an Urban Growth
  
  Equilibrium, which is a useful concept for planning and policy analysis. An agent-based simulation approach is employed to integrate an existing
  
  land use model and the transportation network growth model.
  
  
• Format:
  PDF
• Collection(s):
  University Transportation Centers US Transportation Collection
• Main Document Checksum:
  urn:sha-512:4c592f9537802e9d2864f4a23602c6fa6aeefd8c2e964c7f3dea1683a3f7b2cb32f399cefe5fdc754245d5924ec3d11dd759f1cb1cbf44217f933f2e8d3d6ff3
• Download URL:
  https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/18170/dot_18170_DS1.pdf
• File Type:
  [PDF - 912.99 KB ]