The impacts of welfare reform on rural public transportation patronage
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1999-12-01
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Abstract:This study examines alternative means of forecasting rural public transportation patronage with explicit attention to persons likely to be affected by welfare to work requirements. Original data gathered on rural transit and auto commuters provides a basis for determining the influence of service quality and household characteristics on rural commute mode choice. Alternative specifications of a binary logit type model failed to produce a method deemed adequate for patronage forecasting. Significant variables included travel time (no distinction between in-vehicle and out-of-vehicle time found), travel cost, number of drivers in the household, the age of the commuter, and whether the commuter had ever received welfare benefits. Despite the lack of conclusive empirical results, we observed rural public transportation operators serving welfare to work clients.
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